Japan just handed XRP bulls a major regulatory tailwind. XRP price is retesting a congestion zone, and the prediction could turn bullish very fast, thanks to Japan.
Japan’s Lower House passed a landmark crypto tax bill that would slash the maximum tax rate on digital asset gains from approximately 55% to a flat 20%, while reclassifying crypto as a financial instrument under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.
The legislation advances to the Upper House, where approval is widely anticipated. If enacted, the new framework, which includes insider trading rules and disclosure requirements, targets a 2028 effective date for tax changes, with ETF approvals potentially arriving as early as 2027.
Do You Realize Japan Is Adopting XRP Ledger In Their Financial System?
– Japan to officially designate XRP as a financial asset by 2027
– SBI Japan just publicly disclosed that they use XRP for international payments since 2021 and will now issue XRP bonds and ETF on Tokyo… pic.twitter.com/Kml31jJJ83— Stellar Rippler
(@Stellar_Rippler) May 17, 2026
SBI Holdings has already moved ahead of that timeline, submitting applications to Japan’s FSA for a spot Bitcoin-XRP ETF and a hybrid Digital Gold-Crypto ETF, targeting up to $32 billion in AUM within three years.
The structural shift, from payment instrument to regulated financial product, is what separates this from routine regulatory noise.
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XRP Price Prediction
XRP has tested the $1.15 resistance zone twice in recent sessions, pulling back each time before quickly recovering. It is a pattern that typically precedes either a clean breakout or an exhaustion sell-off. Current price sits around $1.14, with immediate support at $1.1, where the 4-hour chart registered a decisive bounce ahead of the SBI ETF headlines.
Rising volume on each retest of $1.15 raises the probability of a bullish breakout, particularly if price closes a daily candle above it. That level has acted as a high-congestion ceiling; clearing it with conviction opens the next meaningful target at $1.20.
Analyst Zack Rector has called for $5 in the near term and $15 by September, while YouTube analyst James Crypto Space argues a modified 2017 fractal could deliver $9 by early September, both targets that demand sustained institutional inflows, not just retail enthusiasm.
The Japan regulatory backdrop remains the primary bullish driver for those projections to have any structural foundation. For shorter timeframes, XRP’s support floor at the $1–$1.05 range is the level traders are watching most closely right now.
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LiquidChain Eyes Early-Mover Upside as XRP Tests Critical Resistance
XRP at the $1 level is a compelling trade, but it’s also already a $70 billion asset running on macro and regulatory tailwinds that may take months to fully materialize. Traders chasing the ETF catalyst at current levels are essentially paying for news that has a 2027 timeline. Early-stage infrastructure plays offer a different risk-reward profile entirely.
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